Determinan stabilitas perbankan di Indonesia: Pendekatan makro dan mikro prudensial

Authors

  • Jayanti Sukma Dewi Satya Wacana Christian University, Salatiga, Central Java, Indonesia
  • Birgitta Dian Saraswati Satya Wacana Christian University, Salatiga, Central Java, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14414/jbb.v13i2.4470

Keywords:

Bank stability, Macro prudential, Micro prudential

Abstract

Banks have a very important role in the economy. Not only as financial intermediaries. They have also played a big role in the effectiveness of monetary policy. Therefore, bank stability is very important. This research aims to determine the influence of micro-prudential variables represented by CAR, NPL, and LDR variables, as well as the influence of macro-prudential variables represented by the Rupiah exchange rate variable against USD, inflation, interest rates, and IHSG, on bank stability in Indonesia, both in the short and long term. Using the vector error correction model (VECM) analysis technique, this research provides results that microprudential variables and macroprudential variables are both proven to have an influence on banking stability in Indonesia. Micro-prudential indicators such as CAR and LDR have been proven to have a positive effect on banking stability. Meanwhile, NPLs have a negative effect on banking stability. Likewise for macro-prudential indicators: the exchange rate and inflation have a negative effect on financial system stability. Meanwhile, interest rates and IHSG have a positive effect on banking stability. The impact of surprises or shocks that occur in micro-prudential and macro-prudential variables on banking stability is permanent. The implication of the findings in this research is that Bank Indonesia and the Financial Services Authority have a very large role in achieving banking stability in Indonesia.

References

Amrillah, M. F. (2016). Pengaruh nilai tukar rupiah (kurs), inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap return saham Indonesia (BEI) periode 2008-2014. Jurnal Valuta, 2(2), 232–250.

Apriyani, M. D. (2021). Analisis pengaruh perubahan inflasi, tingkat suku bunga sbi, dan ihsg terhadap dana pihak ketiga masyarakat pada perbankan Indonesia. JMB : Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 10(1), 193–204. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.31000/jmb.v10i1.4230.g2433

Argaw, S. A. (2016). Factors Affecting Non-Performing Loans: In Case of Commercial Bank of Ethiopia. 97.

Dwijayanti, N. M. A. (2021). Pengaruh nilai tukar dan inflasi terhadap harga saham perbankan pada masa pandemi covid-19. Jurnal Bisnis & Kewirausahaan, 17(1), 2021. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.31940/jbk.v17i1.2351

Eijffinger, S. C. W., & Karataş, B. (2023). Three sisters: the interlinkage between sovereign debt, currency, and banking crises. Journal of International Money and Finance, 131, 1–21. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102798

Fauzukhaq, M. F., Sari, D., & Wiranata, S. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Bi Rate, Kurs, Car Dan Fdr Terhadap Non Performing Financing Bank Syariah Mandiri. Media Ekonomi, 28(2), 129–140. https://doi.org/10.25105/me.v28i2.7338

Hidayatl, R., Ramadhona, F., Lubis, A., & Salim, A. (2022). Analisis Rasio NIM , BOPO , NPL dan LDR terhadap ROA Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tahun 2009-2020. 5(1), 39–49.

Jackson, E. A., Barrie, M. S., & Johnson, L. (2021). Impact of exchange rate and inflation on commercial banks ’ performance in Sierra Leone. Journal of Smart Economic Growth, 6(3), 67–95.

Jonas, M. R., & King, S. K. (2008). Bank efficiency and the effectiveness of monetary policy. Contemporary Economic Policy, 26(4), 579–589. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.2008.00102.x

Karamoy, H., & Tulung, J. E. (2020). The impact of banking risk on regional development banks in Indonesia. Banks and Bank Systems, 15(2), 130–137. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(2).2020.12

Kasri, R. A., & Azzahra, C. (2020). Determinants of bank stability in Indonesia. SIGNIFIKAN Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 9(2), 153–166. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v9i2.15598

Kemenkeu. (2023). Mengenal Deflasi dan Inflasi serta Pengaruhnya terhadap Perekonomian. Djpb.Kemenkeu. https://djpb.kemenkeu.go.id/kppn/lubuksikaping/id/data-publikasi/artikel/3145-mengenal-deflasi-dan-inflasi-serta-pengaruhnya-terhadap-perekonomian.html

Kharabsheh, B., & Gharaibeh, O. K. (2022). Determinants of Banks’ Stability in Jordan. Economies, 10(12). https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10120311

Kumar, R. R., Stauvermann, P. J., Patel, A., & Prasad, S. S. (2018). Determinants of non-performing loans in banking sector in small developing island states: A study of Fiji. Accounting Research Journal, 31(2), 192–213. https://doi.org/10.1108/ARJ-06-2015-0077

Mabkhot, H., & Al-Wesabi, H. A. H. (2022). Banks’ Financial Stability and Macroeconomic Key Factors in GCC Countries. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(23), 1–21. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3390/su142315999

Mankiw, N. G. (2016). Macroeconomics (Ninth Edit) (p.155). Worth Publishers.

Mishkin, F. S. (2014). The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets (Eleventh, Issue September). Pearson.

Muharam Asysidiq, K., & Sudiyatno, B. (2022). Pengaruh CAR, NPL, LDR, GDP dan Inflasi Terhadap ROA pada Bank Umum Swasta Nasional Devisa yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2017-2021. Jurnal Mirai Management, 7(2), 66–84.

Nugraha, N. N., & Manda, G. S. (2021). Pengaruh inflasi, Bi 7 Days Reverse Repo Rate, dan nilai tukar terhadap profitabilitas perbankan (studi kasus pada bank umum konvensional yang terdaftar di BEI tahun 2016 2020). Jurnal Riset Manajemen Sains Indonesia (JRMSI), 12(2), 200–216. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.21009/JRMSI.012.2.1

OJK. (2011). Perbankan (Seri Literasi keungan Perhuruan Tinggi). Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical, 44(8), 1689–1699.

OJK. (2019). Surat Edaran Otoritas Jasa Keuangan No. 28/SEOJK.03/2019. Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, 8–24.

OJK. (2022). Apa Itu IHSG? Yuk Kenali Indeks Saham IHSG. Sikapiuangmu. https://sikapiuangmu.ojk.go.id/FrontEnd/CMS/Article/40770

Panta, B. (2018). Non-Performing Loans & Bank Profitability: Study of Joint Venture Banks in Nepal. Nepal Article in International Journal of Sciences Basic and Applied Research, 42(1), 151–165. http://gssrr.org/index.php?journal=JournalOfBasicAndApplied

Perdana, IB. Kade. (2020). Krisis Moneter 1998 Akhiri Booming Perbankan Nasional. Infobank News. https://infobanknews.com/krisis-moneter-1998-akhiri-booming-perbankan-nasional/

Pham, T. T., Dao, L. K. O., & Nguyen, V. C. (2021). The determinants of bank’s stability: a system GMM panel analysis. Cogent Business and Management, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1963390

Prasidha, D. K., & Wahyudi, S. T. (2020). Dampak nilai tukar dan risk-based bank rating terhadap prediksi kondisi perbankan Indonesia. Quantitative Economics Journal, 4(3), 122–142. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.24114/qej.v4i3.17467

Priskila, I. Della, & Nurhasanah, N. (2021). Analysis of the effect of inflation, BI Rate, and exchange on profitability of sharia banks in Indonesia (period 2014-2020). Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Perbankan Syariah, 9(2), 46–64. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.46899/jeps.v9i2.283

Riani, D. D., Octavianus, R. J. N., & Hutapea, T. M. H. (2018). Analysis of effect of exchange rate, inflation, and power purchase on distribution of credit in common conventional banks. Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen, 16(2), 363–369. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.21776/ub.jam.2018.016.02.19

Rompas, W. F. I. (2018). Analisis pengaruh tingkat suku bunga dan nilai tukar terhadap permintaan kredit pada perbankan di Kota Manado. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 18(02), 204–215.

Safitri, T. R. (2018). Analisis Pengaruh Faktor Makroekonomi Dan Faktor Fundamental Terhadap Stabilitas Perbankan Konvensional Di Indonesia Pada Tahun 2008-2017. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Universitas Brawijaya, 6(2).

Saraswati, B. D., & Tisnawati, N. M. (2021). Pengaruh Financial Technology (Fintech) Terhadap Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan Di Indonesia. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 10(10), 921. https://doi.org/10.24843/eeb.2021.v10.i10.p09

Setiawati, R. I. S. (2020). Analisis pengaruh faktor-faktor fundamental kinerja bank dan makro ekonomi terhadap stabilitas perbankan di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Bisnis Dan Ekonomi Asia, 14(2), 123–132. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32812/jibeka.v14i2.194

Suripto, Sugiono, A., & Dasuki, H. (2023). Comparing the resilience of Sharia and conventional banking to the financial crisis in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Banks and Bank Systems, 18(3), 192–204. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.18(3).2023.16

Tandris, R., Tommy, P., Murni, S., Bunga, S., Bunga, S., Dan, I., Tukar, N., & Terhadap, P. (2014). Suku bunga, inflasi dan nilai tukar pengaruhnya terhhadap permintaan kredit perbankan di Kota Manado. Jurnal EMBA, 2(1), 243–253. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.35794/emba.2.1.2014.3811

Tongurai, J., & Vithessonthi, C. (2018). The impact of the banking sector on economic structure and growth. International Review of Financial Analysis, 56(5), 193–207. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.01.002

Tulung, J. E., & Ramdani, D. (2015). The Influence of Top Management Team Characteristics on BPD Performance. International Research Journal of Business Studies, 8(3), 155–166. https://doi.org/10.21632/irjbs.8.3.155-166

Wati, E. S. C., Rotinsulu, T. O., & Siwu, H. F. D. . (2019). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi stabilitas sistem keuangan di indonesia periode 2013:q1 – 2018:q4. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 19(03), 149–159.

Widarjono, A. (2009). Ekonometrika : pengantar dan aplikasinya / Agus Widarjono (Edisi ketiga) (p.353) Yogyakarta : Ekonisia, 2009.

Downloads

Published

2024-07-09

How to Cite

Determinan stabilitas perbankan di Indonesia: Pendekatan makro dan mikro prudensial. (2024). Journal of Business & Banking, 13(2), 305-320. https://doi.org/10.14414/jbb.v13i2.4470

Similar Articles

21-30 of 91

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.