Cryptocurrency Safe Haven Property against Indonesian Stock Market During COVID-19
PDF
PDF

Keywords

cryptocurrency
safe haven
COVID-19
Jakarta composite index
DCC-GARCH model

How to Cite

Gunawan, M., & Anggono, A. H. (2021). Cryptocurrency Safe Haven Property against Indonesian Stock Market During COVID-19. Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura, 24(1), 121-138. https://doi.org/10.14414/jebav.v24i1.2661
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Abstract

Safe-haven assets conserve their value or grow against another asset or portfolio
during market turmoil. Indonesian stock market, represented by the Jakarta composite index (JKSE), plunged in price because of COVID-19, pushing investors to look for safe-havens. The cryptocurrency began to be perceived as a store of value as indicated by the transaction volume increase; hence it was expected to be a safe haven asset. However, cryptocurrency’s high price volatility cast doubts on its store of value effectiveness, prompting inspection for its safe haven property as well. This research aimed to predict the assets' risk and return plus investigate whether cryptocurrency is safe haven assets against the Indonesian stock market during COVID- 19. Daily closing prices of JKSE, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple were used, then the GARCH model was implemented in the forecasting. DCC-GARCH model, followed by dummy variable regression, will be applied to the return data to evaluate the safe haven property. The prediction projected Bitcoin as the most profitable asset and
Ripple as the riskiest. The analysis and robustness test suggested that none of these cryptocurrencies were safe haven assets during the whole observation. This indicates that investors who intend to seek safe haven investments were advised against investing in these cryptocurrencies.

References

Adekoya, A. F., & Nti, I. K. (2020). The COVID-19 outbreak and effects on major stock market indices across the globe: A machine learning approach. Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 13(35), 3695–3706. https://doi.org/10.17485/IJST/v13i35.1180

Akhtaruzzaman, M., Boubaker, S., Lucey, B. M., & Sensoy, A. (2020). Is Gold a Hedge or Safe Haven Asset during COVID–19 Crisis? (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3621358). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3621358

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., & Viratyosin, T. (2020). The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19. The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 10(4), 742–758. https://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raaa008

Bank Indonesia. (2020). Laporan Kebijakan Moneter Triwulan I 2020. Bank Indonesia.

Baur, D. G., & Lucey, B. M. (2009). Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 952289). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.952289